Bòsnia i Hercegovina: Visió econòmica i política
Bosnia and Herzegovina is open to foreign trade and is expanding its global partner network. Its trade-to-GDP ratio is 97% (World Bank, latest data available), but trade development is still hampered by low productivity levels, limited access to finance, and administrative barriers. Custom duties are relatively low for most products, but various non-tariff barriers are in place. Anti-dumping and countervailing duties are sometimes imposed to protect the local industry if the price of the merchandise is below the domestic market price or if it is subsidized. Bosnia and Herzegovina seeks to attract higher foreign investment through Free Trade Zones within the country that allow investors to invest capital in specific areas, transfer their profits, and re-transfer capital. Customs duties and tariffs are not payable on imports into these zones. Furthermore, equipment (except passenger vehicles, slots, and gambling machines) imported as part of share capital is exempt from customs duties. BiH is actively pursuing World Trade Organization membership. The country mainly imports mineral fuels (16.5%); nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery, and mechanical appliances (7.2%); electrical machinery and equipment (5.8%); plastics (5.5%); and aluminum (5.4%). Exports are led by mineral fuels (9.9%); aluminum (8.8%); furniture (7.8%); articles of iron or steel (7.4%); and electrical machinery and equipment (7.2% - data national statistical agency).
The country's main export partners in 2022 were Croatia, Germany, and Serbia, accounting for respectively 14.9%, 14.8%, and 13.1% of total export; followed by Italy (11.1%) and Austria (9.5%). Its main suppliers were Italy (12.4%), Serbia (10.7%), Germany (10.5%), Croatia (9.9%), and China (8.1% - data national statistical agency 2022). Overall, the EU is the biggest trading partner.
The country has a structural trade deficit: in 2022, the World Bank estimated the external balance on goods and services to be negative by 13.8% of GDP (from 11.8% one year earlier). In the same period, the Federation exported USD 9.6 billion worth of goods and USD 2.8 billion in services, importing USD 15.3 billion and 0.9 billion, respectively (data WTO). Figures from the national statistical office show that in 2023, Bosnia and Herzegovina witnessed its trade deficit increase to BAM 11.068 billion (equivalent to USD 6.2 billion or EUR 5.7 billion), up from BAM 10.662 billion in 2022. Exports experienced a 7.1% annual decline, reaching approximately BAM 16.7 billion in 2023, while imports decreased by 3.0% to BAM 27.8 billion.
Foreign Trade Values | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Imports of Goods (million USD) | 11,159 | 9,873 | 13,029 | 15,377 | 15,355 |
Exports of Goods (million USD) | 6,578 | 6,155 | 8,614 | 9,674 | 9,232 |
Imports of Services (million USD) | 773 | 558 | 739 | 898 | 1,105 |
Exports of Services (million USD) | 2,373 | 1,511 | 2,385 | 2,982 | 3,283 |
Source: World Trade Organisation (WTO) ; Latest available data
Foreign Trade Indicators | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
Foreign Trade (in % of GDP) | 98.4 | 94.5 | 82.1 | 96.1 | 107.1 |
Trade Balance (million USD) | -4,536 | -4,557 | -3,660 | -4,326 | -5,453 |
Trade Balance (Including Service) (million USD) | -2,964 | -2,957 | -2,706 | -2,681 | -3,369 |
Imports of Goods and Services (Annual % Change) | 3.9 | 1.3 | -13.4 | 20.5 | 24.0 |
Exports of Goods and Services (Annual % Change) | 7.3 | 0.5 | -15.8 | 24.6 | 23.9 |
Imports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) | 56.4 | 54.5 | 47.9 | 53.9 | 60.9 |
Exports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) | 42.0 | 40.0 | 34.2 | 42.2 | 46.2 |
Source: World Bank ; Latest available data
Foreign Trade Forecasts | 2023 | 2024 (e) | 2025 (e) | 2026 (e) | 2027 (e) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Volume of exports of goods and services (Annual % change) | 5.3 | 5.4 | 7.3 | 5.6 | 4.5 |
Volume of imports of goods and services (Annual % change) | 5.5 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 4.9 |
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook ; Latest available data
Note: (e) Estimated Data
Main Customers (% of Exports) |
2023 |
Germany | 16.0% |
Croatia | 15.3% |
Serbia | 13.2% |
Austria | 10.3% |
Italy | 8.7% |
Slovenia | 8.1% |
Montenegro | 4.1% |
Netherlands | 2.5% |
France | 2.0% |
Hungary | 1.7% |
Türkiye | 1.6% |
Switzerland | 1.5% |
Poland | 1.4% |
Czech Republic | 1.4% |
United States | 1.2% |
North Macedonia | 1.1% |
Romania | 1.0% |
Slovakia | 1.0% |
Bulgaria | 0.7% |
Sweden | 0.7% |
See More Countries | 36.5% |
Main Suppliers (% of Imports) |
2023 |
Italy | 13.9% |
Germany | 12.0% |
Serbia | 10.3% |
China | 9.5% |
Croatia | 7.5% |
Türkiye | 5.5% |
Slovenia | 3.9% |
Austria | 3.6% |
Poland | 3.1% |
United States | 2.8% |
Hungary | 2.2% |
Czech Republic | 1.9% |
France | 1.8% |
Russia | 1.7% |
Netherlands | 1.5% |
India | 1.5% |
Spain | 1.3% |
Romania | 0.9% |
Greece | 0.9% |
Brazil | 0.9% |
See More Countries | 46.7% |
Source: Comtrade, 2024. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.
Source: Comtrade, 2024. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.
To go further, check out our service Import-Export Flows.
2.9 bn USD of services exported in 2023 | |
56.11% | |
23.70% | |
14.89% | |
2.30% | |
1.73% | |
Miscellaneous business,...Miscellaneous business, professional, and technical services | 1.66% |
Research and developmentResearch and development | 0.08% |
0.66% | |
0.22% | |
0.17% | |
0.12% | |
0.09% |
1.1 bn USD of services imported in 2023 | |
38.84% | |
35.27% | |
7.78% | |
7.07% | |
Miscellaneous business,...Miscellaneous business, professional, and technical services | 7.00% |
Research and developmentResearch and development | 0.07% |
5.73% | |
2.14% | |
1.36% | |
0.86% | |
0.70% | |
0.25% |
Source: United Nations Statistics Division, 2024. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.
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Actualitzacions: October 2024
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