Etiòpia: Visió econòmica i política
Ethiopia is not fully open to international trade, with a foreign trade-to-GDP ratio of 24% (World Bank, latest data available). It is a member of the IGAD and the COMESA (but has not joined the free trade zone) and has long been in the process of joining the WTO. As part of this process, the government is restructuring the customs tariffs. In order to rationalize investment opportunities, it has introduced lower duties on raw materials and semi-finished products. Ethiopia recently signed the African Continental Free Trade Agreement and created special economic zones offering tax incentives and customs duties exemptions to investors. The country mainly exports vanilla, unwrought nickel, coffee, oilseeds, vegetables, cut flowers, pulses, and meat. The main imported products are petroleum oils, rice, textiles (mostly for re-exports), medicines, wheat, palm oil, vehicles and fertilizers.
According to data by Comtrade, in 2021 Ethiopia’s main customers were Somalia (11.8%), the United States (10.8%), Germany (8%), and the Netherlands (7.5%); whereas its main suppliers were China (26.4%), India (15.7%), the United States (7.6%), Turkey (5%), and Malaysia (4.1%). The peace agreements signed with Eritrea should favour economic relations between the two countries, and the water-sharing agreement concluded with Egypt and Sudan over the Nile River dam will ease the tensions between these neighbouring countries and promote economic relations. However, due to the conflict in the Tigray region and alleged human rights violations, the U.S. removed Ethiopia from the African Growth and Opportunity Act trade program, which is expected to negatively impact trade.
Ethiopia's trade balance is structurally in deficit, and this trend will continue due to the country's investment-led economy, which strongly encourages imports. Trade balance also partially depends on weather phenomena, which sometimes forces Ethiopia, a large agricultural producer, to import grains during droughts. In 2021, imports of goods amounted to USD 15.9 billion, whereas exports stood at USD 3.9 billion. In the same year, Ethiopia spent USD 6.6 billion in imports of services while export generated USD 5.5 billion. According to the World Bank, the country’s trade balance was negative by 9.1% of GDP (from 9.8% one year earlier). Figures from the Ministry of Trade and Regional Integration show that during the 2021/2022 fiscal year, Ethiopia exported goods worth USD 4.1 billion: of these, the agricultural sector had the highest share (72%), followed by the mining sector (14%) and the industry sector (12%).
Foreign Trade Values | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
Imports of Goods (million USD) | 16,076 | 15,305 | 14,554 | 13,115 | 15,973 |
Exports of Goods (million USD) | 3,163 | 2,704 | 2,741 | 3,258 | 3,949 |
Imports of Services (million USD) | 4,844 | 6,129 | 6,079 | 5,375 | 6,654 |
Exports of Services (million USD) | 3,264 | 4,509 | 4,654 | 4,318 | 5,578 |
Source: World Trade Organisation (WTO) ; Latest available data
Foreign Trade Indicators | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
Foreign Trade (in % of GDP) | 31.1 | 31.2 | 28.8 | 24.0 | 24.3 |
Trade Balance (million USD) | -11,206 | -11,021 | -10,310 | -8,509 | -10,403 |
Trade Balance (Including Service) (million USD) | -12,673 | -12,305 | -11,639 | -9,455 | -11,363 |
Imports of Goods and Services (Annual % Change) | -7.5 | -6.6 | -5.3 | -2.0 | 13.3 |
Exports of Goods and Services (Annual % Change) | 7.7 | 5.4 | -5.8 | -5.4 | 19.0 |
Imports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) | 23.5 | 22.8 | 20.9 | 16.9 | 16.7 |
Exports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) | 7.6 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 7.1 | 7.6 |
Source: World Bank ; Latest available data
Foreign Trade Forecasts | 2022 | 2023 (e) | 2024 (e) | 2025 (e) | 2026 (e) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Volume of exports of goods and services (Annual % change) | 11.0 | -2.4 | 18.1 | 11.0 | 10.7 |
Volume of imports of goods and services (Annual % change) | 7.2 | -0.6 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 12.7 |
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook ; Latest available data
Note: (e) Estimated Data
Member of Common Market for Eastern and Souther Africa (COMESA)
Member of Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD)
Main Customers (% of Exports) |
2021 |
Somalia | 11.8% |
United States | 10.8% |
Germany | 8.0% |
Netherlands | 7.5% |
Saudi Arabia | 7.0% |
See More Countries | 54.9% |
Main Suppliers (% of Imports) |
2021 |
China | 26.4% |
India | 15.7% |
United States | 7.6% |
Türkiye | 5.0% |
Malaysia | 4.1% |
See More Countries | 41.1% |
Source: Comtrade, 2022. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.
Source: Comtrade, 2022. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.
To go further, check out our service Import Export Flows.
4.9 bn USD of services exported in 2018 | |
66.33% | |
19.67% | |
Personal travelPersonal travel | 12.01% |
Business travelBusiness travel | 7.66% |
8.34% | |
2.60% | |
1.56% | |
1.02% | |
0.32% | |
0.16% | |
0.01% |
6.2 bn USD of services imported in 2018 | |
65.82% | |
9.87% | |
Business travelBusiness travel | 5.42% |
Personal travelPersonal travel | 4.45% |
7.71% | |
7.52% | |
4.14% | |
3.06% | |
1.20% | |
0.43% | |
0.25% |
Source: United Nations Statistics Division, 2023. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.
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Actualitzacions: May 2023