Luxemburg flag Luxemburg: Visió econòmica i política

El context econòmic de Luxemburg

Economic Indicators

Luxembourg’s economy is characterized by its financial system and a high degree of international openness. The financial sector is the main driving force behind the Grand Duchy’s economy, representing about one-third of the country’s GDP, making Luxembourg vulnerable to external shocks. After growing 1.4% in 2022, Luxembourg's economy experienced a notable slowdown in 2023, characterized by a contraction in GDP during the second and third quarters. According to the latest estimates from the EU Commission, overall economic activity declined by 0.8% during the year, primarily influenced by contractions in the financial services and construction sectors. However, private consumption, supported by reduced inflation and government assistance measures, along with public consumption, bolstered domestic demand. In 2024, economic activity is anticipated to rebound, with GDP growth projected at 1.5%. Private consumption is forecasted to be sustained by diminishing inflationary pressures, increasing wages, reduced personal income tax, and a gradual relaxation of financing conditions over the forecast period. Looking ahead to 2025, economic growth is poised to accelerate further, reaching 2.4%. Private consumption is expected to remain supportive, particularly as energy and food prices are projected to continue easing.

Luxembourg is the wealthiest country in the world in terms of GDP per capita (PPP) and has the highest current account surpluses as a share of GDP in the eurozone. Luxembourg benefits from substantial fiscal space owing to its low level of public debt and comfortable liquidity position. It generally maintains a healthy budgetary position; however, the budget deficit turned negative in 2023 (-0.2% of GDP) due to energy support measures outlined in the Solidaritéitspak 3.0, which was extended until end-2024. The IMF projects a widening deficit to 1.1% over the forecast horizon. The public debt level is among the lowest in the region, though it increased to 27.6% in 2023 according to the IMF, with an upward trend projected this year and in 2025 (29.3% and 30.2%, respectively). HICP inflation dropped to 2.9% in 2023, primarily due to reduced energy prices. Despite three rounds of wage indexations being triggered, there was a slowdown in the inflation of services' prices. For both 2024 and 2025, one round of wage indexation is projected, with inflation expected at 2.6% and 2.3%, respectively (EU Commission). In recent years, the country has implemented a policy of legal reforms to respond to criticism regarding the lack of transparency of its financial center and its fiscal dumping policy towards multinationals. Luxembourg is cooperating with other countries to fight against fraud and fiscal evasion. Introducing an automated exchange of fiscal information among states has put its banking secrecy de facto to an end. The country was taken off the list of uncooperative tax havens, established by the Global Forum on Transparency and Exchange of Information for Tax Purposes.

After rising following the outbreak of the pandemic, unemployment decreased to 4.8% in 2022, but picked up to 5.2% last year, with a further uptick expected in 2024 (5.8% as per the IMF). The working opportunities attract a large number of border workers: almost 200,000 workers cross every day the French, Belgian, and German borders. Despite being the countries with the highest income per capita (USD 142,214 at PPP in 2022 – World Bank), around 17.4% of residents live below the poverty line, according to the latest data available from Statec (in Luxembourg, the poverty line is calculated at 60% of the median standard of living, i.e. EUR 2,247 per month per adult).

 
Main Indicators 20222023 (E)2024 (E)2025 (E)2026 (E)
GDP (billions USD) 81.7185.7888.5693.3797.42
GDP (Constant Prices, Annual % Change) 1.4-1.11.32.92.5
GDP per Capita (USD) 126,598129,810131,384135,804138,928
General Government Balance (in % of GDP) -0.40.2-0.7-1.1-1.2
General Government Gross Debt (in % of GDP) 24.725.728.028.729.5
Inflation Rate (%) 8.22.92.53.12.1
Unemployment Rate (% of the Labour Force) 4.85.26.06.05.8
Current Account (billions USD) 6.256.396.547.117.43
Current Account (in % of GDP) 7.77.47.47.67.6

Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook Database, October 2021

Main Sectors of Industry

The government has been aiming at economic diversification and has been encouraging the development of sectors such as communication and information technologies, logistics, e-commerce, and biotechnologies. The number of foreign citizens in the labor market outweighs the number of Luxembourgish nationals.

The agricultural sector is almost non-existent, as the country’s arable land is limited to 131.6 thousand hectares (FAO). It contributes only 0.2% to the GDP and employs less than 1% of the active population (World Bank, latest data available). The country's main crops are wine, wood, cereals, and potatoes. According to data from Eurostat, Luxembourg’s overall agricultural output (EUR 595 million) accounted for only 0.1% of the total EU output in 2022.

The industrial sector (10.4% of the GDP and 9% of the active population) has historically been dominated by the production of iron and steel. Numerous industrial sites of the mining district in Southern Luxembourg gave its development and its wealth to the country. In recent years, this sector has been diversified with the addition of chemical factories, plastic products, and light engineering. Nowadays, the manufacturing sector represents only 4% of GDP (World Bank). Data from Statistics Luxembourg shows that in 2023, the value of industrial production decreased by 11.5% year-on-year.

With the oil shock of 1973 and the crisis which followed, the Luxembourg economy turned to the development of a services economy like most developed countries. The tertiary sector (employing 90% of the active population) represents 80.4% of the national wealth, with more than half of it attributed exclusively to financial and real estate services. Luxembourg is one of the world's largest money markets and investment fund managers in the world. The financial sector is the economic engine of the country, representing more than one-fourth of GDP and a significant portion of the country’s tax revenues. It is the main center of private banks in the Eurozone and home to many reinsurance companies. The Grand Duchy has sought to diversify its economy, currently over-dependent on the financial sector: it is trying to develop its assets to position itself as a center for media and new information and communication technologies and to attract companies providing electronic services, including e-commerce. Nowadays, trade, transport, hotels, and gastronomy sectors combined are the main employers (almost double the employees of the finance and insurance sectors).

 
Breakdown of Economic Activity By Sector Agriculture Industry Services
Employment By Sector (in % of Total Employment) 1.1 9.4 89.5
Value Added (in % of GDP) 0.2 12.3 78.4
Value Added (Annual % Change) 3.4 1.4 1.9

Source: World Bank, Latest Available Data. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.

 

Find more information about your business sector on our service Market Reports.

 
 

Find out all the exchange rates daily on our service Currency Converter.

 

Indicator of Economic Freedom

Definition:

The Economic freedom index measure ten components of economic freedom, grouped into four broad categories or pillars of economic freedom: Rule of Law (property rights, freedom from corruption); Limited Government (fiscal freedom, government spending); Regulatory Efficiency (business freedom, labour freedom, monetary freedom); and Open Markets (trade freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom). Each of the freedoms within these four broad categories is individually scored on a scale of 0 to 100. A country’s overall economic freedom score is a simple average of its scores on the 10 individual freedoms.}}

Score:
76/100
World Rank:
18
Regional Rank:
11

Economic freedom in the world (interactive map)
Source: Index of Economic Freedom, Heritage Foundation

 
 

Country Risk

See the country risk analysis provided by Coface.
 

Return to top

Sources of General Economic Information

Ministries
Ministry of Economy
Ministry of Finances
Statistical Office
The National Statistical Institute of Luxembourg
Central Bank
Central Bank of Luxembourg
Stock Exchange
Luxembourg Stock Exchange
Economic Portals
Economic Portal (in French)
 

Return to top

Vols fer algun comentari sobre aquest contingut? Escriu-nos.

 

© eexpand, Tots els drets reservats.
Actualitzacions: May 2024

Return to top