Malawi: Visió econòmica i política
Malawi is relatively open to international trade: the country is a member of the WTO and has bilateral trade agreements with two of its main trade partners, South Africa and Zimbabwe. Malawi is also a beneficiary of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), a U.S. trade preference program. As part of its trade policy, the country has been gradually reducing protections granted to domestic trade by shifting its sources of revenue from customs duties to consumption and direct taxes. Overall, Malawi's economy remains heavily dependent on agriculture, and its exports and imports reflect this reliance on primary and intermediate goods: tobacco accounts for almost half of total exports, as the country is one of the world's largest producers of tobacco. Other major exports include groundnuts, tea, dried vegetables, and agricultural products in general. Imports are led by refined petroleum (16.8% of total imports in 2022), machinery, transport equipment, fertilizers, and medicaments (data Comtrade).
According to the latest data available by Comtrade, the main export destinations of Malawi are Belgium (16%), Tanzania (9.4%), Kenya (6.9%), South Africa (6.4%), Zimbabwe (5.3%), and the United States (5.3%); whereas the top import origins are China (16.5%), the United Arab Emirates (14.0%), South Africa (14.0%), Kuwait (7.4%), India (5.5%), and Japan (3.2% - data 2022).
Malawi’s trade balance is structurally in deficit. In 2022, imports of goods declined to USD 1.5 billion, while the country exported goods for a value of around USD 800 million (-50.5% and -20.7% year-on-year, respectively – data WTO). Concerning services, imports stood at USD 1.3 billion against USD 417 million in exports (data WTO). The trade deficit has been contracting in recent years, a trend that was exacerbated in 2022 as imports collapsed reflecting the impact of foreign exchange shortages. While alleviating the external balance, the unavailability of foreign exchange led to shortages of imported goods (World Bank).
Foreign Trade Values | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Imports of Goods (million USD) | 2,892 | 2,678 | 3,073 | 1,586 | 1,560 |
Exports of Goods (million USD) | 899 | 771 | 1,009 | 900 | 880 |
Imports of Services (million USD) | 459 | 584 | 591 | 1,330 | n/a |
Exports of Services (million USD) | 373 | 442 | 462 | 417 | n/a |
Source: World Trade Organisation (WTO) ; Latest available data
Foreign Trade Indicators | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
Trade Balance (million USD) | -1,577 | -1,658 | -1,733 | -1,797 | -1,914 |
Trade Balance (Including Service) (million USD) | -1,737 | -1,819 | -1,819 | -1,940 | -2,043 |
Source: World Bank ; Latest available data
Foreign Trade Forecasts | 2023 | 2024 (e) | 2025 (e) | 2026 (e) | 2027 (e) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Volume of exports of goods and services (Annual % change) | 23.6 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 9.3 |
Volume of imports of goods and services (Annual % change) | 76.0 | 1.1 | 15.5 | 5.2 | 6.0 |
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook ; Latest available data
Note: (e) Estimated Data
• WTO since 1995
• Cotonou Agreement
• Southern African Development Community (SADC)
• Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA).
• African Growth and Opportunity Act beneficiary country
• Malawi signed a bilateral trade agreement with South Africa, under which a number of export products may enter the South African market at reduced rates of import duty
• Malawi signed a preferential trade agreement with Mozambique with the intention that Malawi export products to the neighbouring country are duty-free.
Main Customers (% of Exports) |
2023 |
Belgium | 15.9% |
Tanzania | 10.8% |
China | 5.6% |
South Africa | 5.4% |
Zimbabwe | 5.3% |
See More Countries | 56.9% |
Main Suppliers (% of Imports) |
2023 |
China | 17.4% |
South Africa | 15.6% |
United Arab Emirates | 12.4% |
India | 7.0% |
Tanzania | 6.7% |
See More Countries | 40.9% |
Source: Comtrade, 2024. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.
Source: Comtrade, 2024. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.
To go further, check out our service Import-Export Flows.
0.3 bn USD of services exported in 2019 | |
31.16% | |
28.45% | |
16.62% | |
15.51% | |
Personal travelPersonal travel | 8.03% |
OtherOther | 53.33% |
Business travelBusiness travel | 7.48% |
3.82% | |
1.74% | |
0.97% | |
0.60% | |
0.59% | |
0.55% |
0.5 bn USD of services imported in 2019 | |
35.20% | |
Personal travelPersonal travel | 20.12% |
OtherOther | 43.54% |
Business travelBusiness travel | 15.08% |
21.26% | |
12.82% | |
12.82% | |
4.76% | |
4.37% | |
4.18% | |
3.60% | |
0.51% | |
0.49% |
Source: United Nations Statistics Division, 2024. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.
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Actualitzacions: May 2024